Deutsche Lufthansa AG

BUSE:LUFTHANSA Stock Report

Market Cap: Ft3.1t

Deutsche Lufthansa Valuation

Is LUFTHANSA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LUFTHANSA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LUFTHANSA (HUF2570) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HUF8352.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LUFTHANSA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LUFTHANSA?

Key metric: As LUFTHANSA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LUFTHANSA. This is calculated by dividing LUFTHANSA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LUFTHANSA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.6x
Earnings€1.12b
Market Cap€7.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LUFTHANSA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LUFTHANSA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.7x
601021 Spring Airlines
24.9x26.6%CN¥54.4b
9202 ANA Holdings
9.3x1.1%JP¥1.3t
LTM LATAM Airlines Group
10.7x22.2%CL$8.3t
ALK Alaska Air Group
26x39.5%US$8.2b
LUFTHANSA Deutsche Lufthansa
6.6x15.1%Ft7.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LUFTHANSA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the peer average (17.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LUFTHANSA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LUFTHANSA 6.6xIndustry Avg. 9.5xNo. of Companies9PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LUFTHANSA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (9.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LUFTHANSA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LUFTHANSA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LUFTHANSA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LUFTHANSA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentFt2,570.00
Ft2,992.87
+16.5%
22.6%Ft4,961.33Ft2,273.94n/a18
Dec ’25Ft2,630.00
Ft2,945.56
+12.0%
24.2%Ft4,913.27Ft1,965.31n/a17
Nov ’25Ft2,621.00
Ft2,918.62
+11.4%
24.6%Ft4,900.39Ft1,960.16n/a17
Oct ’25Ft2,578.00
Ft2,710.53
+5.1%
28.2%Ft4,775.03Ft1,790.64n/a17
Sep ’25Ft2,300.00
Ft2,691.53
+17.0%
28.5%Ft4,729.30Ft1,773.49n/a17
Aug ’25Ft2,255.00
Ft2,769.21
+22.8%
27.8%Ft4,755.71Ft1,783.39n/a16
Jul ’25Ft2,281.00
Ft3,189.46
+39.8%
24.1%Ft4,875.11Ft2,061.02n/a17
Jun ’25Ft2,490.00
Ft3,306.62
+32.8%
22.7%Ft4,791.50Ft2,220.45n/a17
May ’25Ft2,650.00
Ft3,292.48
+24.2%
23.2%Ft4,794.28Ft2,221.74n/a17
Apr ’25Ft2,876.50
Ft3,579.43
+24.4%
22.5%Ft5,366.82Ft2,604.49n/a17
Mar ’25Ft2,821.00
Ft3,758.29
+33.2%
22.5%Ft5,838.54Ft2,568.96n/a18
Feb ’25Ft2,953.00
Ft3,902.39
+32.1%
24.8%Ft5,793.94Ft2,549.33n/a17
Jan ’25Ft3,070.00
Ft3,983.09
+29.7%
25.3%Ft5,769.32Ft2,576.96n/a17
Dec ’24Ft3,114.50
Ft4,040.69
+29.7%
22.4%Ft5,672.32Ft2,533.64Ft2,630.0017
Nov ’24Ft2,539.00
Ft4,259.99
+67.8%
20.7%Ft5,735.47Ft2,676.55Ft2,621.0017
Oct ’24Ft2,932.00
Ft4,636.03
+58.1%
18.6%Ft5,880.07Ft3,136.04Ft2,578.0017
Sep ’24Ft3,160.00
Ft4,745.99
+50.2%
18.8%Ft6,025.11Ft3,109.74Ft2,300.0016
Aug ’24Ft3,550.00
Ft4,662.93
+31.4%
18.4%Ft6,071.78Ft3,035.89Ft2,255.0016
Jul ’24Ft3,524.50
Ft4,601.95
+30.6%
18.6%Ft6,286.94Ft2,958.56Ft2,281.0016
Jun ’24Ft3,427.50
Ft4,703.62
+37.2%
17.6%Ft6,309.44Ft2,969.15Ft2,490.0015
May ’24Ft3,590.00
Ft4,452.35
+24.0%
23.7%Ft6,168.88Ft2,276.88Ft2,650.0016
Apr ’24Ft3,896.50
Ft4,361.92
+11.9%
25.5%Ft6,270.68Ft2,314.45Ft2,876.5016
Mar ’24Ft3,719.50
Ft3,579.40
-3.8%
22.9%Ft5,666.16Ft2,297.09Ft2,821.0016
Feb ’24Ft3,785.00
Ft3,353.13
-11.4%
18.6%Ft4,165.78Ft2,335.95Ft2,953.0015
Jan ’24Ft3,130.00
Ft3,233.03
+3.3%
16.0%Ft3,968.48Ft2,125.97Ft3,070.0013
Dec ’23Ft3,120.00
Ft3,055.11
-2.1%
18.2%Ft4,040.08Ft2,164.33Ft3,114.5013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 12:57
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Deutsche Lufthansa AG is covered by 55 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephan BauerBankhaus Lampe KG
Andrew LobbenbergBarclays
David FintzenBarclays