Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft

BUSE:BMW Stock Report

Market Cap: Ft20.0t

Bayerische Motoren Werke Valuation

Is BMW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BMW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
Ft35.82k
Fair Value
7.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: BMW (HUF33000) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HUF35824.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BMW is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BMW?

Key metric: As BMW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BMW. This is calculated by dividing BMW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BMW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6x
Earnings€8.18b
Market Cap€49.05b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BMW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BMW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8x
VOW3 Volkswagen
4x10.2%€50.3b
GM General Motors
6.8x7.2%US$49.3b
7267 Honda Motor
7x4.5%JP¥6.9t
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
14.1x8.1%€56.2b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
6x3.3%Ft49.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BMW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the peer average (8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BMW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BMW 6.0xIndustry Avg. 17.0xNo. of Companies14PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BMW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (17x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BMW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BMW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BMW's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BMW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentFt33,000.00
Ft36,031.68
+9.2%
14.8%Ft48,803.85Ft26,072.17n/a23
Jan ’26Ft32,400.00
Ft36,408.55
+12.4%
15.6%Ft49,634.50Ft26,515.93n/a22
Dec ’25Ft28,600.00
Ft35,943.25
+25.7%
15.8%Ft49,139.96Ft24,611.00n/a22
Nov ’25Ft29,600.00
Ft37,698.27
+27.4%
19.7%Ft62,050.19Ft28,204.63n/a21
Oct ’25Ft31,670.00
Ft37,224.79
+17.5%
18.8%Ft60,756.14Ft29,194.51n/a22
Sep ’25Ft33,000.00
Ft42,172.98
+27.8%
16.3%Ft65,252.61Ft31,447.04n/a22
Aug ’25Ft33,000.00
Ft43,869.66
+32.9%
15.3%Ft65,787.37Ft33,290.00n/a22
Jul ’25Ft35,500.00
Ft44,481.14
+25.3%
14.4%Ft65,283.58Ft33,035.06n/a22
Jun ’25n/a
Ft43,583.81
0%
14.0%Ft63,812.73Ft34,597.26n/a22
May ’25n/a
Ft44,181.15
0%
14.0%Ft64,556.45Ft35,212.61n/a22
Apr ’25n/a
Ft44,267.71
0%
14.4%Ft65,229.05Ft33,602.85n/a22
Mar ’25Ft42,175.00
Ft42,866.65
+1.6%
14.5%Ft63,395.30Ft33,058.90n/a23
Feb ’25n/a
Ft42,198.16
0%
14.4%Ft62,530.01Ft32,607.67Ft33,000.0023
Jan ’25Ft38,770.00
Ft41,765.81
+7.7%
14.7%Ft62,197.75Ft32,434.41Ft32,400.0022
Dec ’24Ft36,475.00
Ft41,314.07
+13.3%
15.2%Ft61,459.40Ft32,049.38Ft28,600.0021
Nov ’24Ft34,500.00
Ft42,805.80
+24.1%
13.1%Ft61,216.21Ft34,434.12Ft29,600.0021
Oct ’24n/a
Ft43,164.67
0%
13.1%Ft61,415.75Ft34,546.36Ft31,670.0021
Sep ’24Ft36,000.00
Ft43,543.81
+21.0%
12.5%Ft61,306.19Ft34,484.73Ft33,000.0021
Aug ’24Ft41,000.00
Ft43,204.49
+5.4%
12.7%Ft59,305.84Ft35,507.95Ft33,000.0020
Jul ’24Ft41,380.00
Ft41,653.64
+0.7%
13.5%Ft58,013.94Ft32,517.37Ft35,500.0020
Jun ’24Ft38,000.00
Ft40,980.53
+7.8%
14.8%Ft58,193.38Ft31,505.97n/a21
May ’24Ft37,465.00
Ft40,253.37
+7.4%
15.2%Ft58,573.54Ft31,711.79n/a21
Apr ’24Ft38,500.00
Ft40,882.35
+6.2%
15.9%Ft60,226.27Ft30,113.14n/a21
Mar ’24Ft37,500.00
Ft39,462.40
+5.2%
15.6%Ft58,187.63Ft29,859.44Ft42,175.0021
Feb ’24Ft35,750.00
Ft39,745.76
+11.2%
16.2%Ft59,151.93Ft30,354.28n/a21
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 23 Analysts
Ft37.13k
Fair Value
11.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/01 18:18
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/28 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft is covered by 65 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hans-Peter WodniokAlphaValue
Gerhard SchwarzBaader Helvea Equity Research
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.