Stock Analysis

Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Jadranski naftovod d.d.'s (ZGSE:JNAF) Mixed Fundamentals?

ZGSE:JNAF
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Jadranski naftovod d.d's (ZGSE:JNAF) recent performance, when its stock has declined 1.4% over the past month. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. In this article, we decided to focus on Jadranski naftovod d.d's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for Jadranski naftovod d.d

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jadranski naftovod d.d is:

5.6% = Kn254m ÷ Kn4.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HRK1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HRK0.06 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Jadranski naftovod d.d's Earnings Growth And 5.6% ROE

At first glance, Jadranski naftovod d.d's ROE doesn't look very promising. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 8.6%. As a result, Jadranski naftovod d.d's flat net income growth over the past five years doesn't come as a surprise given its lower ROE.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Jadranski naftovod d.d's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 12% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
ZGSE:JNAF Past Earnings Growth February 15th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Jadranski naftovod d.d fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Jadranski naftovod d.d Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 28% (meaning the company retains72% of profits) in the last three-year period, Jadranski naftovod d.d's earnings growth was more or les flat. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Additionally, Jadranski naftovod d.d has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Jadranski naftovod d.d. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. To gain further insights into Jadranski naftovod d.d's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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