The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Maistra d.d. (ZGSE:MAIS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Maistra d.d
What Is Maistra d.d's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Maistra d.d had debt of Kn1.29b, up from Kn1.08b in one year. On the flip side, it has Kn95.6m in cash leading to net debt of about Kn1.19b.
How Healthy Is Maistra d.d's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Maistra d.d had liabilities of Kn486.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of Kn1.09b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of Kn95.6m and Kn35.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total Kn1.45b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Maistra d.d has a market capitalization of Kn3.17b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Maistra d.d's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Maistra d.d made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to Kn644m, which is a fall of 49%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Maistra d.d's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost Kn174m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through Kn152m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Maistra d.d you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About ZGSE:MAIS
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.