Stock Analysis

Datang International Power Generation (HKG:991) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

SEHK:991
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Datang International Power Generation Co., Ltd. (HKG:991) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Datang International Power Generation

How Much Debt Does Datang International Power Generation Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Datang International Power Generation had CN¥178.6b of debt, an increase on CN¥155.0b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥10.7b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥167.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:991 Debt to Equity History February 10th 2023

How Healthy Is Datang International Power Generation's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Datang International Power Generation had liabilities of CN¥101.6b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥120.5b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥10.7b and CN¥20.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥191.1b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥45.2b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Datang International Power Generation would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Datang International Power Generation will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Datang International Power Generation reported revenue of CN¥115b, which is a gain of 13%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Datang International Power Generation produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥4.9b at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it vaporized CN¥5.9b in cash over the last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Datang International Power Generation has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.