China Gas Holdings Limited

SEHK:384 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$35.3b

China Gas Holdings Valuation

Is 384 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 384 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 384 (HK$6.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$15.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 384 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 384?

Key metric: As 384 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 384. This is calculated by dividing 384's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 384's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
EarningsHK$3.12b
Market CapHK$35.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 384's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 384 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.2x
392 Beijing Enterprises Holdings
6.7x18.9%HK$32.3b
2688 ENN Energy Holdings
9.5x9.6%HK$61.1b
1193 China Resources Gas Group
13.4x7.7%HK$68.8b
135 Kunlun Energy
11.3x9.7%HK$69.6b
384 China Gas Holdings
11.3x12.1%HK$35.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 384 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (10.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 384's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Gas Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
384 11.3xIndustry Avg. 13.7xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 384 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the Asian Gas Utilities industry average (13.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 384's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

384 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio10x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 384 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 384 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$6.50
HK$7.63
+17.4%
19.3%HK$11.00HK$5.60n/a15
Dec ’25HK$6.44
HK$7.93
+23.2%
19.0%HK$11.50HK$5.60n/a16
Nov ’25HK$6.72
HK$8.16
+21.5%
15.8%HK$11.50HK$6.50n/a17
Oct ’25HK$7.23
HK$8.10
+12.0%
14.5%HK$11.50HK$6.50n/a18
Sep ’25HK$6.60
HK$8.19
+24.1%
15.2%HK$11.50HK$6.50n/a18
Aug ’25HK$7.14
HK$8.19
+14.7%
15.2%HK$11.50HK$6.50n/a18
Jul ’25HK$7.00
HK$8.15
+16.5%
15.7%HK$11.50HK$6.50n/a18
Jun ’25HK$7.39
HK$8.48
+14.8%
16.0%HK$12.50HK$6.75n/a18
May ’25HK$7.36
HK$8.25
+12.1%
15.9%HK$12.50HK$6.75n/a18
Apr ’25HK$7.06
HK$8.22
+16.5%
17.5%HK$12.60HK$6.10n/a18
Mar ’25HK$7.23
HK$8.26
+14.2%
17.1%HK$12.60HK$6.10n/a18
Feb ’25HK$7.08
HK$8.30
+17.2%
17.4%HK$12.60HK$6.10n/a17
Jan ’25HK$7.71
HK$8.62
+11.8%
21.3%HK$12.60HK$6.10n/a18
Dec ’24HK$7.03
HK$9.23
+31.3%
27.2%HK$16.00HK$6.10HK$6.4418
Nov ’24HK$6.96
HK$10.55
+51.6%
22.8%HK$16.00HK$6.90HK$6.7219
Oct ’24HK$7.39
HK$10.99
+48.7%
19.8%HK$16.00HK$7.00HK$7.2319
Sep ’24HK$8.00
HK$11.12
+39.0%
20.8%HK$16.00HK$7.00HK$6.6019
Aug ’24HK$8.58
HK$11.12
+29.6%
20.8%HK$16.00HK$7.00HK$7.1419
Jul ’24HK$8.97
HK$11.22
+25.1%
19.3%HK$16.00HK$7.70HK$7.0019
Jun ’24HK$9.29
HK$12.11
+30.3%
22.2%HK$16.30HK$7.70HK$7.3919
May ’24HK$10.06
HK$12.17
+21.0%
22.4%HK$16.30HK$7.90HK$7.3619
Apr ’24HK$11.06
HK$12.13
+9.7%
23.1%HK$16.30HK$7.90HK$7.0618
Mar ’24HK$11.42
HK$12.13
+6.2%
23.1%HK$16.30HK$7.90HK$7.2318
Feb ’24HK$12.44
HK$12.08
-2.9%
22.9%HK$16.30HK$7.90HK$7.0819
Jan ’24HK$11.36
HK$11.57
+1.8%
25.1%HK$16.30HK$7.50HK$7.7119
Dec ’23HK$9.93
HK$11.70
+17.8%
26.7%HK$16.30HK$7.50HK$7.0318

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 22:13
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China Gas Holdings Limited is covered by 47 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ying LouBarclays
Hiu Tung HuiBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Cho Ming LauBOCI Research Ltd.