These 4 Measures Indicate That China Datang Corporation Renewable Power (HKG:1798) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power Co., Limited (HKG:1798) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for China Datang Corporation Renewable Power

How Much Debt Does China Datang Corporation Renewable Power Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 China Datang Corporation Renewable Power had debt of CN¥58.1b, up from CN¥49.7b in one year. However, it does have CN¥2.80b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥55.3b.

How Strong Is China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power had liabilities of CN¥23.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥47.8b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.80b in cash and CN¥20.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥47.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥14.3b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.4, it's fair to say China Datang Corporation Renewable Power does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 3.0 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Another concern for investors might be that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's EBIT fell 20% in the last year. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Datang Corporation Renewable Power can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power created free cash flow amounting to 11% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

To be frank both China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. We think the chances that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power has too much debt a very significant. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China Datang Corporation Renewable Power (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.