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ELL Environmental Holdings Limited (HKG:1395) Stock's 26% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny
The ELL Environmental Holdings Limited (HKG:1395) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 46% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that ELL Environmental Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Water Utilities industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for ELL Environmental Holdings
How ELL Environmental Holdings Has Been Performing
For instance, ELL Environmental Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for ELL Environmental Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is ELL Environmental Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, ELL Environmental Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 44% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 92% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 19% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's curious that ELL Environmental Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for ELL Environmental Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Water Utilities industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that ELL Environmental Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for ELL Environmental Holdings (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if ELL Environmental Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1395
ELL Environmental Holdings
An investment holding company, designs, constructs, operates, and maintains wastewater treatment facilities in the People’s Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Indonesia.
Low and overvalued.
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