Stock Analysis

We Think Kunlun Energy (HKG:135) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

SEHK:135
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Kunlun Energy Company Limited (HKG:135) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kunlun Energy

What Is Kunlun Energy's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kunlun Energy had CN¥24.7b in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥42.0b in cash, so it actually has CN¥17.4b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:135 Debt to Equity History December 11th 2023

How Strong Is Kunlun Energy's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kunlun Energy had liabilities of CN¥33.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥23.0b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥42.0b and CN¥2.71b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥11.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Kunlun Energy has a market capitalization of CN¥54.6b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Kunlun Energy also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Fortunately, Kunlun Energy grew its EBIT by 8.1% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kunlun Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Kunlun Energy may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Kunlun Energy recorded free cash flow worth 79% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

Although Kunlun Energy's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥17.4b. The cherry on top was that in converted 79% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥8.9b. So we don't think Kunlun Energy's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Kunlun Energy you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kunlun Energy is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.