Stock Analysis

Kunlun Energy (HKG:135) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Kunlun Energy (HKG:135), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Kunlun Energy is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.12 = CN¥12b ÷ (CN¥142b - CN¥36b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

So, Kunlun Energy has an ROCE of 12%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Gas Utilities industry average of 8.6% it's much better.

See our latest analysis for Kunlun Energy

roce
SEHK:135 Return on Capital Employed December 22nd 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Kunlun Energy compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Kunlun Energy for free.

What Can We Tell From Kunlun Energy's ROCE Trend?

Over the past five years, Kunlun Energy's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So unless we see a substantial change at Kunlun Energy in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger. With fewer investment opportunities, it makes sense that Kunlun Energy has been paying out a decent 45% of its earnings to shareholders. Unless businesses have highly compelling growth opportunities, they'll typically return some money to shareholders.

The Key Takeaway

We can conclude that in regards to Kunlun Energy's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 110% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Kunlun Energy that we think you should be aware of.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kunlun Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:135

Kunlun Energy

An investment holding company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas in the Republic of Kazakhstan, the Sultanate of Oman, and the Kingdom of Thailand.

Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.

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