Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Xinda Investment Holdings Limited (HKG:1281) With Shares Advancing 334%

SEHK:1281
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Xinda Investment Holdings Limited (HKG:1281) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 334% share price jump in the last month. The annual gain comes to 271% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Renewable Energy industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may consider Xinda Investment Holdings as a stock not worth researching with its 3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Xinda Investment Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1281 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 4th 2024

How Xinda Investment Holdings Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Xinda Investment Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Xinda Investment Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Xinda Investment Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 44% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 82% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 6.9% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Xinda Investment Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Xinda Investment Holdings' P/S

Shares in Xinda Investment Holdings have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Xinda Investment Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Xinda Investment Holdings (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).

If you're unsure about the strength of Xinda Investment Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.