Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Huadian Power International Corporation Limited (HKG:1071) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Huadian Power International
What Is Huadian Power International's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Huadian Power International had CN¥124.3b of debt, an increase on CN¥117.6b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥7.28b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥117.0b.
How Strong Is Huadian Power International's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Huadian Power International had liabilities of CN¥50.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥97.4b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥7.28b and CN¥14.5b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥126.5b.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥57.6b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Huadian Power International would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Huadian Power International can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year Huadian Power International wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 6.6%, to CN¥110b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Huadian Power International produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥1.1b. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of CN¥2.1b over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Huadian Power International has 3 warning signs (and 2 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Huadian Power International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1071
Huadian Power International
Engages in the generation and sale of electricity, heat, and coal to power grid companies in the People’s Republic of China.
Very undervalued with proven track record.