Stock Analysis

Shareholders Of Anhui Expressway (HKG:995) Have Received 2.6% On Their Investment

SEHK:995
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The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Anhui Expressway Company Limited (HKG:995) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 22% over a half decade. Even worse, it's down 9.3% in about a month, which isn't fun at all.

Check out our latest analysis for Anhui Expressway

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the five years over which the share price declined, Anhui Expressway's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 3.9% each year. Notably, the share price has fallen at 5% per year, fairly close to the change in the EPS. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:995 Earnings Per Share Growth March 11th 2021

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Anhui Expressway the TSR over the last 5 years was 2.6%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Anhui Expressway shareholders gained a total return of 18% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 0.5% over half a decade It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. Before forming an opinion on Anhui Expressway you might want to consider the cold hard cash it pays as a dividend. This free chart tracks its dividend over time.

We will like Anhui Expressway better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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