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Qinhuangdao Port (HKG:3369) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Qinhuangdao Port (HKG:3369) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Qinhuangdao Port, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.069 = CN¥1.7b ÷ (CN¥28b - CN¥3.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Thus, Qinhuangdao Port has an ROCE of 6.9%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 5.5% generated by the Infrastructure industry, it's much better.
View our latest analysis for Qinhuangdao Port
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Qinhuangdao Port's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
SWOT Analysis for Qinhuangdao Port
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
- Debt is not viewed as a risk.
- Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Infrastructure market.
- Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
- Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine 3369's earnings prospects.
- No apparent threats visible for 3369.
The Trend Of ROCE
Over the past five years, Qinhuangdao Port's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So unless we see a substantial change at Qinhuangdao Port in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger.
Our Take On Qinhuangdao Port's ROCE
In a nutshell, Qinhuangdao Port has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Since the stock has declined 13% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Qinhuangdao Port that we think you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Qinhuangdao Port might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:3369
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.