Stock Analysis

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings' (HKG:1919) five-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth

Published
SEHK:1919

The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. Long term COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. (HKG:1919) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 214% in five years. But it's down 5.4% in the last week.

While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

View our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During five years of share price growth, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 107% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 26% over the same period. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock. The reasonably low P/E ratio of 3.30 also suggests market apprehension.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

SEHK:1919 Earnings Per Share Growth February 9th 2024

We know that COSCO SHIPPING Holdings has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling COSCO SHIPPING Holdings stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings the TSR over the last 5 years was 477%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that COSCO SHIPPING Holdings has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 17% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 42% a year, is even better. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand COSCO SHIPPING Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.