Stock Analysis

Investors Give Xin Yuan Enterprises Group Limited (HKG:1748) Shares A 55% Hiding

Published
SEHK:1748

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Xin Yuan Enterprises Group Limited (HKG:1748) share price has dived 55% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 66% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, given about half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may still consider Xin Yuan Enterprises Group as an attractive investment with its 7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Earnings have risen firmly for Xin Yuan Enterprises Group recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Xin Yuan Enterprises Group

SEHK:1748 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 21st 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Xin Yuan Enterprises Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 15% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 169% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Xin Yuan Enterprises Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Xin Yuan Enterprises Group revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Xin Yuan Enterprises Group.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.