Xiaomi Valuation
Is 1810 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 1810 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 1810 (HK$28.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$47.31)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 1810 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1810?
Key metric: As 1810 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 1810's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 34.2x |
| Earnings | CN¥19.36b |
| Market Cap | CN¥662.02b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 27.6x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 1810's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 20.7x | ||
992 Lenovo Group | 12.2x | 17.4% | HK$112.5b |
DELL Dell Technologies | 25.5x | 14.3% | US$101.2b |
1263 PC Partner Group | 8x | n/a | HK$1.9b |
1401 Sprocomm Intelligence | 37.3x | n/a | HK$1.3b |
1810 Xiaomi | 34.2x | 19.7% | HK$711.2b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1810 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x) compared to the peer average (20.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 1810's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Tech Industry?
| 3 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1810 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x) compared to the Asian Tech industry average (22.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 1810's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 34.2x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 20.5x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1810 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | HK$28.55 | HK$31.07 +8.8% | 17.9% | HK$35.98 | HK$17.69 | n/a | 30 |
| Nov ’25 | HK$27.30 | HK$24.91 -8.7% | 16.4% | HK$34.55 | HK$17.01 | n/a | 30 |
| Oct ’25 | HK$22.50 | HK$23.84 +5.9% | 14.0% | HK$30.90 | HK$15.16 | n/a | 30 |
| Sep ’25 | HK$19.50 | HK$23.41 +20.1% | 14.6% | HK$31.14 | HK$15.35 | n/a | 30 |
| Aug ’25 | HK$16.68 | HK$22.12 +32.6% | 15.5% | HK$30.36 | HK$15.03 | n/a | 29 |
| Jul ’25 | HK$16.48 | HK$21.87 +32.7% | 17.1% | HK$30.36 | HK$13.90 | n/a | 28 |
| Jun ’25 | HK$17.48 | HK$21.85 +25.0% | 17.0% | HK$30.36 | HK$13.97 | n/a | 29 |
| May ’25 | HK$17.32 | HK$19.66 +13.5% | 17.8% | HK$31.24 | HK$13.98 | n/a | 28 |
| Apr ’25 | HK$14.94 | HK$18.36 +22.9% | 19.2% | HK$27.70 | HK$10.60 | n/a | 29 |
| Mar ’25 | HK$13.32 | HK$18.09 +35.8% | 20.7% | HK$27.18 | HK$10.66 | n/a | 27 |
| Feb ’25 | HK$12.38 | HK$18.67 +50.8% | 17.7% | HK$24.94 | HK$10.67 | n/a | 27 |
| Jan ’25 | HK$15.60 | HK$18.52 +18.7% | 18.2% | HK$24.90 | HK$10.78 | n/a | 29 |
| Dec ’24 | HK$15.16 | HK$18.29 +20.7% | 18.8% | HK$24.94 | HK$10.73 | n/a | 29 |
| Nov ’24 | HK$14.22 | HK$15.06 +5.9% | 19.0% | HK$20.20 | HK$7.62 | HK$27.30 | 28 |
| Oct ’24 | HK$12.34 | HK$14.56 +18.0% | 18.1% | HK$19.89 | HK$7.64 | HK$22.50 | 28 |
| Sep ’24 | HK$12.36 | HK$14.75 +19.3% | 18.1% | HK$20.06 | HK$7.71 | HK$19.50 | 28 |
| Aug ’24 | HK$12.16 | HK$13.51 +11.1% | 18.5% | HK$19.61 | HK$7.74 | HK$16.68 | 28 |
| Jul ’24 | HK$10.72 | HK$13.32 +24.2% | 18.7% | HK$19.55 | HK$7.72 | HK$16.48 | 28 |
| Jun ’24 | HK$10.26 | HK$13.54 +32.0% | 18.8% | HK$19.90 | HK$7.86 | HK$17.48 | 28 |
| May ’24 | HK$11.06 | HK$13.89 +25.6% | 19.6% | HK$19.97 | HK$8.09 | HK$17.32 | 27 |
| Apr ’24 | HK$12.10 | HK$13.87 +14.6% | 19.6% | HK$19.77 | HK$8.09 | HK$14.94 | 27 |
| Mar ’24 | HK$12.60 | HK$13.68 +8.6% | 23.2% | HK$19.64 | HK$5.21 | HK$13.32 | 27 |
| Feb ’24 | HK$13.50 | HK$12.49 -7.5% | 20.9% | HK$16.70 | HK$5.57 | HK$12.38 | 28 |
| Jan ’24 | HK$10.94 | HK$11.86 +8.4% | 19.8% | HK$16.04 | HK$5.35 | HK$15.60 | 29 |
| Dec ’23 | HK$10.46 | HK$11.72 +12.0% | 19.9% | HK$16.17 | HK$5.36 | HK$15.16 | 29 |
| Nov ’23 | HK$9.25 | HK$12.08 +30.6% | 20.7% | HK$16.30 | HK$6.10 | HK$14.22 | 29 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
Discover undervalued companies
Lenovo Group
HK$112.5b
An investment holding company, develops, manufactures, and markets technology products and services.
80992
HK$8.46
7D
-1.2%
1Y
-3.4%
Legend Holdings
HK$16.4b
Operates in the industrial operations, and industrial incubations and investments business in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
3396
HK$6.94
7D
-4.8%
1Y
0.7%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited
HK$15.8b
Engages in the research, development, production, and sale of optical fiber preforms, cables, and related products in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
6869
HK$10.68
7D
-4.0%
1Y
17.1%