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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Shenghua Lande Scitech Limited (HKG:8106) After Shares Rise 30%
Shenghua Lande Scitech Limited (HKG:8106) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Shenghua Lande Scitech's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Hong Kong's Electronic industry. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Shenghua Lande Scitech
How Shenghua Lande Scitech Has Been Performing
For instance, Shenghua Lande Scitech's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenghua Lande Scitech's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenghua Lande Scitech would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 37%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 61% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shenghua Lande Scitech's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does Shenghua Lande Scitech's P/S Mean For Investors?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Shenghua Lande Scitech's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
The fact that Shenghua Lande Scitech currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Shenghua Lande Scitech that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:8106
Shenghua Lande Scitech
An investment holding company, trades in hardware and computer software in the People’s Republic of China.
Slight with mediocre balance sheet.