Stock Analysis

Is Keen Ocean International Holding (HKG:8070) Using Too Much Debt?

SEHK:8070
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Keen Ocean International Holding Limited (HKG:8070) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Keen Ocean International Holding

What Is Keen Ocean International Holding's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Keen Ocean International Holding had HK$46.6m of debt in June 2023, down from HK$50.3m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$44.6m, its net debt is less, at about HK$1.94m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8070 Debt to Equity History October 19th 2023

A Look At Keen Ocean International Holding's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Keen Ocean International Holding had liabilities of HK$115.3m due within 12 months and no liabilities due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$44.6m as well as receivables valued at HK$55.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$15.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Keen Ocean International Holding has a market capitalization of HK$69.0m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Keen Ocean International Holding's debt of just 0.077 times EBITDA is really very modest. And EBIT easily covered the interest expense 7.3 times over, lending force to that view. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Keen Ocean International Holding has boosted its EBIT by 71%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Keen Ocean International Holding's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Keen Ocean International Holding actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Keen Ocean International Holding's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Keen Ocean International Holding is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Keen Ocean International Holding you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Keen Ocean International Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.