Stock Analysis

Here's Why Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited (HKG:6869) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

SEHK:6869
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited Company (HKG:6869) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited

What Is Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited had debt of CN¥8.44b, up from CN¥6.51b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥5.31b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥3.13b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:6869 Debt to Equity History February 22nd 2024

How Healthy Is Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited had liabilities of CN¥9.24b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥5.62b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.31b and CN¥6.39b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥3.17b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited has a market capitalization of CN¥13.7b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

We'd say that Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.9), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its strong interest cover of 1k times, makes us even more comfortable. Unfortunately, Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited saw its EBIT slide 3.8% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited that you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:6869

Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited

Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of optical fiber preforms, cables, and related products in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.

Undervalued with solid track record.