What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Goldpac Group (HKG:3315) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Goldpac Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.08 = CN¥160m ÷ (CN¥2.5b - CN¥531m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).
Therefore, Goldpac Group has an ROCE of 8.0%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 7.3% average generated by the Tech industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Goldpac Group
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Goldpac Group, check out these free graphs here.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
Things have been pretty stable at Goldpac Group, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Goldpac Group doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.
The Bottom Line
In summary, Goldpac Group isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. And with the stock having returned a mere 39% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Goldpac Group (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:3315
Goldpac Group
An investment holding company, provides embedded software and secure payment products for smart secure payment in the Mainland China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.