Stock Analysis

Yeebo (International Holdings) (HKG:259) shareholders notch a 22% CAGR over 5 years, yet earnings have been shrinking

Published
SEHK:259

It hasn't been the best quarter for Yeebo (International Holdings) Limited (HKG:259) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 17% in that time. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been very strong. It's fair to say most would be happy with 129% the gain in that time. So while it's never fun to see a share price fall, it's important to look at a longer time horizon. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.

Since it's been a strong week for Yeebo (International Holdings) shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Yeebo (International Holdings)

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Yeebo (International Holdings)'s earnings per share are down 8.1% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

We doubt the modest 1.9% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 8.0% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Yeebo (International Holdings) is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

SEHK:259 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 1st 2024

Take a more thorough look at Yeebo (International Holdings)'s financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Yeebo (International Holdings)'s TSR for the last 5 years was 175%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Yeebo (International Holdings) shareholders are down 9.4% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 19%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 22% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Yeebo (International Holdings) has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.