Stock Analysis

Optimistic Investors Push Ta Yang Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1991) Shares Up 37% But Growth Is Lacking

SEHK:1991
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Ta Yang Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1991) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 37% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 28%.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Ta Yang Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Electronic industry is similar at about 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Ta Yang Group Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1991 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2023

What Does Ta Yang Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Ta Yang Group Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ta Yang Group Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Ta Yang Group Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.2%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 6.6% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 7.7% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Ta Yang Group Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Ta Yang Group Holdings' P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Ta Yang Group Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Ta Yang Group Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Ta Yang Group Holdings (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Ta Yang Group Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ta Yang Group Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.