Kingboard Laminates Holdings Limited (HKG:1888), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SEHK over the last few months, increasing to HK$14.40 at one point, and dropping to the lows of HK$6.93. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Kingboard Laminates Holdings' current trading price of HK$7.09 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Kingboard Laminates Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
What's The Opportunity In Kingboard Laminates Holdings?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 3.26x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 7.12x, which means if you buy Kingboard Laminates Holdings today, you’d be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe that Kingboard Laminates Holdings should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Furthermore, it seems like Kingboard Laminates Holdings’s share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s priced similarly to industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
What kind of growth will Kingboard Laminates Holdings generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Kingboard Laminates Holdings, at least in the near future.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? 1888 seems priced close to industry peers right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on 1888, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on 1888 for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystallize your views on 1888 should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.
Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Kingboard Laminates Holdings (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.