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Are Dividend Investors Getting More Than They Bargained For With Nanfang Communication Holdings Limited's (HKG:1617) Dividend?
Today we'll take a closer look at Nanfang Communication Holdings Limited (HKG:1617) from a dividend investor's perspective. Owning a strong business and reinvesting the dividends is widely seen as an attractive way of growing your wealth. Unfortunately, it's common for investors to be enticed in by the seemingly attractive yield, and lose money when the company has to cut its dividend payments.
In this case, Nanfang Communication Holdings likely looks attractive to dividend investors, given its 7.0% dividend yield and four-year payment history. We'd agree the yield does look enticing. Remember that the recent share price drop will make Nanfang Communication Holdings's yield look higher, even though recent events might have impacted the company's prospects. Some simple analysis can reduce the risk of holding Nanfang Communication Holdings for its dividend, and we'll focus on the most important aspects below.
Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Nanfang Communication Holdings!
Payout ratios
Companies (usually) pay dividends out of their earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, the dividend might have to be cut. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. Although Nanfang Communication Holdings pays a dividend, it was loss-making during the past year. When a company recently reported a loss, we should investigate if its cash flows covered the dividend.
Nanfang Communication Holdings paid out 523% of its free cash flow last year, suggesting the dividend is poorly covered by cash flow. Paying out such a high percentage of cash flow suggests that the dividend was funded from either cash at bank or by borrowing, neither of which is desirable over the long term.
While the above analysis focuses on dividends relative to a company's earnings, we do note Nanfang Communication Holdings' strong net cash position, which will let it pay larger dividends for a time, should it choose.
Consider getting our latest analysis on Nanfang Communication Holdings' financial position here.
Dividend Volatility
From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. Nanfang Communication Holdings has been paying a dividend for the past four years. This company's dividend has been unstable, and with a relatively short history, we think it's a little soon to draw strong conclusions about its long term dividend potential. During the past four-year period, the first annual payment was CN¥0.02 in 2016, compared to CN¥0.04 last year. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13% a year over that time. The growth in dividends has not been linear, but the CAGR is a decent approximation of the rate of change over this time frame.
It's not great to see that the payment has been cut in the past. We're generally more wary of companies that have cut their dividend before, as they tend to perform worse in an economic downturn.
Dividend Growth Potential
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share (EPS) are growing. Why take the risk of a dividend getting cut, unless there's a good chance of bigger dividends in future? Nanfang Communication Holdings' EPS have fallen by approximately 22% per year during the past five years. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and Nanfang Communication Holdings' earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.
Conclusion
Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing. Nanfang Communication Holdings' dividend is not well covered by free cash flow, plus it paid a dividend while being unprofitable. Earnings per share are down, and Nanfang Communication Holdings' dividend has been cut at least once in the past, which is disappointing. Using these criteria, Nanfang Communication Holdings looks quite suboptimal from a dividend investment perspective.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, Nanfang Communication Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.
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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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Access Free AnalysisThis article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:1617
Nanfang Communication Holdings
An investment holding company, manufactures and sells optical fibre cables and optical distribution network devices in the People’s Republic of China.
Slight and fair value.