Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Limited

SEHK:909 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$5.3b

Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Valuation

Is 909 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 909 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 909 (HK$2.86) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 909 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 909?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

909 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-1x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 909's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 909 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.8x
1808 Enterprise Development Holdings
7.5xn/aHK$493.9m
8100 GET Holdings
1.5xn/aHK$142.2m
2013 Weimob
2x13.2%HK$4.8b
9959 Linklogis
4.2x15.2%HK$3.9b
909 Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings
3x7.7%HK$5.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 909 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the peer average (3.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 909's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a55.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a55.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 909 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the Hong Kong Software industry average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 909's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

909 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3x
Fair PS Ratio2.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 909 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 909 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$2.86
HK$3.14
+9.7%
30.3%HK$5.18HK$1.80n/a11
Apr ’25HK$2.44
HK$3.33
+36.4%
29.9%HK$5.17HK$1.80n/a11
Mar ’25HK$2.30
HK$3.44
+49.6%
33.1%HK$5.16HK$1.50n/a12
Feb ’25HK$2.11
HK$3.67
+73.7%
25.3%HK$5.15HK$2.20n/a12
Jan ’25HK$2.88
HK$4.36
+51.3%
16.0%HK$5.62HK$3.47n/a12
Dec ’24HK$3.05
HK$4.33
+42.0%
15.7%HK$5.57HK$3.44n/a12
Nov ’24HK$3.25
HK$4.26
+30.9%
15.8%HK$5.48HK$3.38n/a12
Oct ’24HK$3.43
HK$4.59
+33.8%
22.7%HK$7.30HK$3.39n/a14
Sep ’24HK$3.95
HK$4.62
+17.0%
22.3%HK$7.31HK$3.40n/a14
Aug ’24HK$4.80
HK$4.99
+4.0%
19.0%HK$7.36HK$3.61n/a14
Jul ’24HK$3.51
HK$5.17
+47.4%
19.6%HK$7.33HK$3.60n/a14
Jun ’24HK$3.39
HK$5.52
+62.8%
20.6%HK$7.70HK$3.78n/a14
May ’24HK$4.05
HK$5.73
+41.6%
19.0%HK$7.75HK$3.80HK$2.4714
Apr ’24HK$5.03
HK$5.77
+14.7%
18.3%HK$7.75HK$3.80HK$2.4414
Mar ’24HK$6.02
HK$7.18
+19.3%
26.0%HK$10.18HK$4.16HK$2.3016
Feb ’24HK$7.66
HK$7.33
-4.3%
25.8%HK$10.37HK$4.24HK$2.1116
Jan ’24HK$7.02
HK$6.91
-1.6%
24.9%HK$10.02HK$4.10HK$2.8816
Dec ’23HK$6.30
HK$6.75
+7.1%
25.2%HK$9.84HK$4.03HK$3.0516
Nov ’23HK$4.20
HK$6.81
+62.2%
25.8%HK$9.78HK$4.00HK$3.2516
Oct ’23HK$4.65
HK$7.66
+64.6%
35.3%HK$15.76HK$4.91HK$3.4315
Sep ’23HK$6.29
HK$8.35
+32.8%
35.2%HK$15.95HK$4.97HK$3.9514
Aug ’23HK$7.13
HK$11.54
+61.8%
23.0%HK$16.39HK$8.69HK$4.8012
Jul ’23HK$12.56
HK$16.55
+31.8%
33.9%HK$26.76HK$9.52HK$3.5113
Jun ’23HK$9.61
HK$16.72
+74.0%
34.8%HK$26.82HK$9.54HK$3.3912
May ’23HK$10.50
HK$19.76
+88.2%
46.2%HK$42.74HK$9.89HK$4.0512

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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