Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Kinetix Systems Holdings Limited's (HKG:8606) 27% Price Drop
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Kinetix Systems Holdings Limited (HKG:8606) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 18% in the last year.
After such a large drop in price, given about half the companies operating in Hong Kong's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may consider Kinetix Systems Holdings as an attractive investment with its 0.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Kinetix Systems Holdings
How Has Kinetix Systems Holdings Performed Recently?
It looks like revenue growth has deserted Kinetix Systems Holdings recently, which is not something to boast about. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this benign revenue growth rate will likely underperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kinetix Systems Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Kinetix Systems Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 7.2% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Kinetix Systems Holdings' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From Kinetix Systems Holdings' P/S?
Kinetix Systems Holdings' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Kinetix Systems Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Kinetix Systems Holdings (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kinetix Systems Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:8606
Kinetix Systems Holdings
An investment holding company, provides information technology (IT) services in Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, the People’s Republic of China, and the United Kingdom.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.