Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For Edianyun Limited (HKG:2416) Even After Diving 31%

SEHK:2416
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Edianyun Limited (HKG:2416) shares are down a considerable 31% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 82% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Edianyun's P/S ratio of 0.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the IT industry in Hong Kong is also close to 1.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Edianyun

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2416 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 15th 2024

How Has Edianyun Performed Recently?

Edianyun hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Edianyun.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Edianyun would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.4%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 56% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 14% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 14%, which is not materially different.

With this in mind, it makes sense that Edianyun's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Edianyun's P/S?

Following Edianyun's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look at Edianyun's revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Edianyun that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Edianyun might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.