David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Weimob Inc. (HKG:2013) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is Weimob's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Weimob had CN¥3.89b of debt at June 2022, down from CN¥4.37b a year prior. However, it also had CN¥3.37b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥525.3m.
How Healthy Is Weimob's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Weimob had liabilities of CN¥3.44b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.46b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.37b as well as receivables valued at CN¥288.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥2.25b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Weimob has a market capitalization of CN¥7.20b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Weimob can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year Weimob wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 33%, to CN¥2.6b. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
Caveat Emptor
Even though Weimob managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥1.4b. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥1.4b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Weimob you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2013
Weimob
An investment holding company, provides digital commerce and media services in the People’s Republic of China.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.