Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That SUNeVision Holdings (HKG:1686) Is Using Debt Extensively

SEHK:1686
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that SUNeVision Holdings Ltd. (HKG:1686) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the HK IT industry.

How Much Debt Does SUNeVision Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 SUNeVision Holdings had HK$11.9b of debt, an increase on HK$10.6b, over one year. However, it does have HK$309.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$11.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1686 Debt to Equity History November 1st 2022

How Healthy Is SUNeVision Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that SUNeVision Holdings had liabilities of HK$3.65b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$9.90b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$309.7m as well as receivables valued at HK$419.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$12.8b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of HK$16.9b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on SUNeVision Holdings' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

As it happens SUNeVision Holdings has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.8 but very strong interest coverage of 155. So either it has access to very cheap long term debt or that interest expense is going to grow! SUNeVision Holdings grew its EBIT by 8.5% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine SUNeVision Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, SUNeVision Holdings saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both SUNeVision Holdings's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making SUNeVision Holdings stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with SUNeVision Holdings .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.