Stock Analysis

SUNeVision Holdings (HKG:1686) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

SEHK:1686
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies SUNeVision Holdings Ltd. (HKG:1686) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for SUNeVision Holdings

How Much Debt Does SUNeVision Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, SUNeVision Holdings had HK$10.5b of debt, up from HK$9.13b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has HK$303.2m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$10.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1686 Debt to Equity History March 3rd 2021

A Look At SUNeVision Holdings' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that SUNeVision Holdings had liabilities of HK$1.20b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$10.8b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$303.2m as well as receivables valued at HK$396.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$11.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

SUNeVision Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$31.1b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

As it happens SUNeVision Holdings has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.4 but very strong interest coverage of 173. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. We saw SUNeVision Holdings grow its EBIT by 9.4% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if SUNeVision Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, SUNeVision Holdings burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

SUNeVision Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that SUNeVision Holdings is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for SUNeVision Holdings (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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