Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, ICO Group Limited (HKG:1460) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for ICO Group
What Is ICO Group's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ICO Group had HK$19.9m in debt in September 2021; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds HK$114.5m in cash, so it actually has HK$94.7m net cash.
How Strong Is ICO Group's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that ICO Group had liabilities of HK$174.3m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$24.1m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$114.5m and HK$264.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast HK$180.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity is a great indication that ICO Group's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, ICO Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that ICO Group has boosted its EBIT by 38%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since ICO Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. ICO Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, ICO Group's free cash flow amounted to 38% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Summing up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that ICO Group has net cash of HK$94.7m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 38% over the last year. So is ICO Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for ICO Group that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1460
ICO Group
An investment holding company, provides IT application services to institutions and enterprises in Hong Kong and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.