Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that ICO Group Limited (HKG:1460) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for ICO Group
What Is ICO Group's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, ICO Group had HK$58.1m of debt, up from HK$19.6m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds HK$107.4m in cash, so it actually has HK$49.4m net cash.
A Look At ICO Group's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, ICO Group had liabilities of HK$181.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$40.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$107.4m and HK$311.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has HK$195.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity is a great indication that ICO Group's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Simply put, the fact that ICO Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for ICO Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 29% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since ICO Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While ICO Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, ICO Group recorded free cash flow worth 55% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case ICO Group has HK$49.4m in net cash and a strong balance sheet. So we don't think ICO Group's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example ICO Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1460
ICO Group
An investment holding company, provides IT application services to institutions and enterprises in Hong Kong and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.