Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Company Limited's (HKG:1385) 26% Share Price Surge

Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Company Limited (HKG:1385) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 72%.

Since its price has surged higher, Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 44%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 46% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 21% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's P/E?

Shares in Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.