Zhongsheng Group Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Zhongsheng Group Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16.7% and 0.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.6% in 3 years.

Key information

16.7%

Earnings growth rate

14.6%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth	25.8%
Revenue growth rate	0.6%
Future return on equity	9.6%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SHSC:881 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	188,355	5,638	8,574	10,437	15
12/31/2025	182,639	4,399	7,358	8,070	17
12/31/2024	174,693	3,102	7,087	8,376	17
6/30/2024	179,810	3,589	3,298	5,885	N/A
3/31/2024	179,550	4,303	3,416	6,155	N/A
12/31/2023	179,290	5,018	3,533	6,426	N/A
9/30/2023	177,510	5,633	4,142	7,512	N/A
6/30/2023	175,729	6,248	4,750	8,599	N/A
3/31/2023	177,793	6,468	4,858	8,692	N/A
12/31/2022	179,857	6,688	4,966	8,785	N/A
9/30/2022	176,814	7,385	4,320	8,454	N/A
6/30/2022	173,771	8,082	3,673	8,123	N/A
3/31/2022	174,437	8,205	4,733	9,498	N/A
12/31/2021	175,103	8,329	5,794	10,872	N/A
9/30/2021	176,305	7,636	6,212	10,927	N/A
6/30/2021	177,506	6,944	6,631	10,983	N/A
3/31/2021	162,927	6,242	6,336	10,153	N/A
12/31/2020	148,348	5,540	6,041	9,324	N/A
9/30/2020	136,591	5,125	5,539	8,502	N/A
6/30/2020	124,833	4,711	5,037	7,679	N/A
3/31/2020	124,438	4,606	5,052	7,739	N/A
12/31/2019	124,043	4,502	5,067	7,799	N/A
9/30/2019	119,943	4,191	4,709	7,379	N/A
6/30/2019	115,843	3,881	4,350	6,958	N/A
3/31/2019	111,789	3,759	2,054	4,638	N/A
12/31/2018	107,736	3,637	-243	2,318	N/A
9/30/2018	102,505	3,734	732	3,353	N/A
6/30/2018	97,274	3,832	1,708	4,388	N/A
3/31/2018	91,782	3,591	N/A	4,811	N/A
12/31/2017	86,290	3,350	N/A	5,235	N/A
9/30/2017	82,235	2,977	N/A	4,644	N/A
6/30/2017	78,179	2,603	N/A	4,053	N/A
3/31/2017	74,889	2,232	N/A	4,283	N/A
12/31/2016	71,599	1,860	N/A	4,513	N/A
9/30/2016	67,799	1,312	N/A	4,071	N/A
6/30/2016	63,998	764	N/A	3,630	N/A
3/31/2016	61,570	612	N/A	4,141	N/A
12/31/2015	59,143	461	N/A	4,652	N/A
9/30/2015	57,015	471	N/A	4,386	N/A
6/30/2015	54,888	481	N/A	4,121	N/A
3/31/2015	54,837	616	N/A	2,524	N/A
12/31/2014	54,787	751	N/A	927	N/A
9/30/2014	54,746	926	N/A	533	N/A
6/30/2014	54,705	1,101	N/A	140	N/A
3/31/2014	53,616	1,056	N/A	973	N/A
12/31/2013	52,527	1,010	N/A	1,807	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 881's forecast earnings growth (16.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 881's earnings (16.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (11.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 881's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 881's revenue (0.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 881's revenue (0.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 881's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.6%).

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 33%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 24%

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.66 (vs CN¥1.25 in 1H 2023)

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 30, 2024

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited (SEHK:881) agreed to acquire Suzhou Sunfonda Toyota Automobile Sales Services Co., Ltd. from Shaanxi Sunfonda Automobile Co Ltd. and Shaanxi Sunfonda Automobile Technology Development Co., Ltd. for CNY 18 million.

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023, to Be Distributed on 12 July 2024

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.80 per share

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥2.09 (vs CN¥2.77 in FY 2022)

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Dividend of HK$0.80 announced

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 21, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥2.09 (vs CN¥2.77 in FY 2022)

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023, Payable on 12 July 2024

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited Announces Appointment of Executive Directors

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 27, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.25 (vs CN¥1.42 in 1H 2022)

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 23, 2023

Co-Founder & Chairman recently bought HK$21m worth of stock

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2022, Payable on July 14, 2023

Upcoming dividend of HK$1.09 per share at 3.2% yield

Co-Founder recently bought HK$48m worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings released

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited Appoints Daniel Zheng Zhou as Chief Strategy Officer, Effective February 1, 2023

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited Announces Resignation of Li Guohui as Executive Director, Chairman of Risk Committee and Chairman of Environmental, Social and Governance Committee, Effective 31 December 2022

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Less than half of directors are independent

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.42 (vs CN¥1.61 in 1H 2021)

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 30, 2022

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited Announces Management Changes

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought HK$4.6m worth of stock

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on 8 July 2022

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.84 per share

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited Announces Resignation of Du Qingshan as an Executive Director and the Chairman of Compliance Committee

Less than half of directors are independent

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on July 8, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2021 Final Results on Mar 17, 2022

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought HK$2.4m worth of stock

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥1.61 (vs CN¥1.01 in 1H 2020)

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥1.61 (vs CN¥1.01 in 1H 2020)

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of HKD 2.99567 billion.

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited (SEHK:881) entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire Zung Fu (China) Limited from Jardine Motors Holdings Limited for HKD 10.1 billion.

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.58 per share

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥2.44 (vs CN¥1.98 in FY 2019)

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2020, Payable on July 12, 2021

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥2.44 (vs CN¥1.98 in FY 2019)

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 18, 2021

New 90-day low: HK$44.85

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Mar 19, 2021

New 90-day low: HK$45.95

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought HK$940k worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

New 90-day low: HK$47.45

New 90-day high: HK$60.15

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited Announces Management Appointments

Market bids up stock over the past week

New 90-day high: HK$54.05

First half earnings released

New 90-day high: HK$51.55

First half earnings released

New 90-day high - HK$49.65

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2020 Results on Aug 10, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts