Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Daohe Global Group Limited (HKG:915) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Daohe Global Group
What Is Daohe Global Group's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Daohe Global Group had debt of US$4.55m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from US$4.78m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$18.9m in cash, so it actually has US$14.4m net cash.
A Look At Daohe Global Group's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Daohe Global Group had liabilities of US$15.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.34m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$18.9m as well as receivables valued at US$3.15m due within 12 months. So it actually has US$5.46m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus liquidity suggests that Daohe Global Group's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that Daohe Global Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Daohe Global Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 98% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Daohe Global Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Daohe Global Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Daohe Global Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Daohe Global Group has net cash of US$14.4m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 228% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$4.6m. So is Daohe Global Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Daohe Global Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:915
Daohe Global Group
An investment holding company, sells merchandise, and provides procurement and value-added services in the People’s Republic of China, Southern Hemisphere, North America, Europe, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.