Stock Analysis

Cogobuy Group (HKG:400) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

SEHK:400
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Cogobuy Group (HKG:400) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Cogobuy Group

How Much Debt Does Cogobuy Group Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Cogobuy Group had debt of CN¥138.9m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from CN¥180.7m over a year. However, it does have CN¥428.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥289.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:400 Debt to Equity History April 19th 2021

How Strong Is Cogobuy Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Cogobuy Group had liabilities of CN¥836.1m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥432.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥428.7m in cash and CN¥1.79b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥952.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Cogobuy Group's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that Cogobuy Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Cogobuy Group has boosted its EBIT by 42%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Cogobuy Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Cogobuy Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Cogobuy Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Summing up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Cogobuy Group has net cash of CN¥289.8m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 42% over the last year. So is Cogobuy Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Cogobuy Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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