Stock Analysis

Cogobuy Group (HKG:400) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

SEHK:400
Source: Shutterstock

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Cogobuy Group (HKG:400) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Cogobuy Group, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.045 = CN¥210m ÷ (CN¥5.5b - CN¥836m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

Thus, Cogobuy Group has an ROCE of 4.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Online Retail industry average of 3.6%.

Check out our latest analysis for Cogobuy Group

roce
SEHK:400 Return on Capital Employed May 10th 2021

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Cogobuy Group, check out these free graphs here.

The Trend Of ROCE

In terms of Cogobuy Group's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 21% over the last five years. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

On a related note, Cogobuy Group has decreased its current liabilities to 15% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

Our Take On Cogobuy Group's ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Cogobuy Group's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Moreover, since the stock has crumbled 80% over the last five years, it appears investors are expecting the worst. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.

One final note, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Cogobuy Group (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:400

Ingdan

Operates as a technology service platform for integrated circuit (IC) chips industry and artificial intelligence of things (AIoT) ecosystem in the People’s Republic of China and Hong Kong.

Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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