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- SEHK:280
King Fook Holdings Limited's (HKG:280) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.5x King Fook Holdings Limited (HKG:280) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 11x and even P/E's lower than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for King Fook Holdings as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for King Fook Holdings
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on King Fook Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
King Fook Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 130%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's alarming that King Fook Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On King Fook Holdings' P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of King Fook Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for King Fook Holdings that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on King Fook Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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Access Free AnalysisThis article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:280
King Fook Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of gold ornaments, jewelry, watches, gifts, and diamond products primarily in Hong Kong.
Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.