Centenary United Holdings Limited

SEHK:1959 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$204.6m

Centenary United Holdings Valuation

Is 1959 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1959 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1959 (HK$0.41) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$18.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1959 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1959?

Key metric: As 1959 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1959. This is calculated by dividing 1959's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1959's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.1x
SalesCN¥1.63b
Market CapCN¥190.81m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1959's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1959 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.04x
1771 Sunfonda Group Holdings
0.01xn/aHK$162.0m
1759 Sino Gas Holdings Group
0.07xn/aHK$100.4m
1872 Guan Chao Holdings
0.07xn/aHK$96.1m
1293 Grand Baoxin Auto Group
0.01xn/aHK$428.5m
1959 Centenary United Holdings
0.1xn/aHK$204.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1959 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1959's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Specialty Retail Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3669 China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings
0.05x-1.7%US$460.69m
3836 China Harmony Auto Holding
0.06x13.2%US$125.27m
6188 Beijing Digital Telecom
0.04xn/aUS$99.10m
2337 United Strength Power Holdings
0.07xn/aUS$83.25m
1959 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies15PS00.40.81.21.62+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1959 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the Hong Kong Specialty Retail industry average (0.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1959's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1959 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.1x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1959's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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