China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Limited

SEHK:3669 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$2.9b

China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Valuation

Is 3669 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3669 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3669 (HK$1.53) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$2.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3669 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3669?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

3669 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.09x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4x
PEG Ratio0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3669's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3669 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.1x
1268 China MeiDong Auto Holdings
18.4x46.8%HK$2.8b
2473 XXF Group Holdings
22.7xn/aHK$2.7b
2337 United Strength Power Holdings
30.3xn/aHK$1.3b
6909 BetterLife Holding
9.1xn/aHK$554.0m
3669 China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings
4.7x14.8%HK$2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3669 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the peer average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3669's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3669 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the Hong Kong Specialty Retail industry average (7.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3669's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3669 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.7x
Fair PE Ratio9.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3669 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3669 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$1.53
HK$2.95
+92.9%
40.4%HK$6.68HK$1.10n/a17
Jul ’25HK$1.72
HK$3.05
+77.6%
36.2%HK$6.70HK$1.89n/a17
Jun ’25HK$1.94
HK$3.05
+57.4%
36.2%HK$6.70HK$1.89n/a17
May ’25HK$2.13
HK$3.06
+43.6%
36.2%HK$6.71HK$1.89n/a17
Apr ’25HK$2.18
HK$3.26
+49.7%
36.1%HK$6.74HK$1.90n/a17
Mar ’25HK$2.45
HK$3.89
+58.7%
34.9%HK$6.65HK$2.00n/a16
Feb ’25HK$2.01
HK$4.25
+111.2%
28.7%HK$6.68HK$2.40n/a16
Jan ’25HK$2.93
HK$4.70
+60.4%
21.3%HK$6.73HK$3.22n/a16
Dec ’24HK$2.95
HK$4.92
+66.9%
26.6%HK$8.35HK$3.24n/a16
Nov ’24HK$3.02
HK$4.93
+63.3%
26.2%HK$8.19HK$3.18n/a16
Oct ’24HK$3.03
HK$5.17
+70.8%
26.7%HK$8.20HK$3.18n/a19
Sep ’24HK$3.48
HK$5.36
+54.1%
27.8%HK$8.28HK$3.21n/a20
Aug ’24HK$3.56
HK$6.17
+73.3%
22.2%HK$8.32HK$3.20n/a20
Jul ’24HK$3.94
HK$7.05
+78.9%
15.2%HK$9.50HK$5.25HK$1.7220
Jun ’24HK$4.20
HK$7.22
+72.0%
13.6%HK$9.50HK$5.32HK$1.9420
May ’24HK$5.26
HK$7.44
+41.4%
13.2%HK$9.50HK$5.48HK$2.1320
Apr ’24HK$5.58
HK$7.48
+34.1%
13.2%HK$9.52HK$5.50HK$2.1820
Mar ’24HK$6.48
HK$7.88
+21.6%
17.9%HK$10.80HK$5.22HK$2.4518
Feb ’24HK$6.89
HK$8.32
+20.7%
30.6%HK$17.28HK$5.27HK$2.0119
Jan ’24HK$5.80
HK$8.22
+41.6%
30.5%HK$16.79HK$5.12HK$2.9319
Dec ’23HK$4.98
HK$8.10
+62.6%
30.5%HK$16.54HK$5.05HK$2.9519
Nov ’23HK$3.62
HK$8.07
+123.0%
28.7%HK$16.16HK$4.93HK$3.0220
Oct ’23HK$4.21
HK$9.66
+129.5%
24.7%HK$16.61HK$6.35HK$3.0323
Sep ’23HK$5.63
HK$10.08
+79.1%
24.0%HK$17.02HK$6.50HK$3.4823
Aug ’23HK$6.75
HK$12.27
+81.8%
26.3%HK$21.78HK$7.76HK$3.5623
Jul ’23HK$7.42
HK$13.00
+75.2%
27.3%HK$22.01HK$7.84HK$3.9423

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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