Stock Analysis

Should Income Investors Look At Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited (HKG:1929) Before Its Ex-Dividend?

SEHK:1929
Source: Shutterstock

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited (HKG:1929) is about to go ex-dividend in just four days. You will need to purchase shares before the 7th of December to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 23rd of December.

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's upcoming dividend is HK$0.16 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of HK$0.24 per share to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group has a trailing yield of approximately 2.4% on its current stock price of HK$10.12. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

View our latest analysis for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. It paid out 78% of its earnings as dividends last year, which is not unreasonable, but limits reinvestment in the business and leaves the dividend vulnerable to a business downturn. It could become a concern if earnings started to decline. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. It distributed 36% of its free cash flow as dividends, a comfortable payout level for most companies.

It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1929 Historic Dividend December 2nd 2020

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 8.0% a year over the previous five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group has delivered an average of 12% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past eight years of dividend payments. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group is already paying out 78% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

Final Takeaway

Is Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? The payout ratios are within a reasonable range, implying the dividend may be sustainable. Declining earnings are a serious concern, however, and could pose a threat to the dividend in future. In summary, it's hard to get excited about Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group from a dividend perspective.

So if you want to do more digging on Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group, you'll find it worthwhile knowing the risks that this stock faces. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

A common investment mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a list of promising dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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