Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Talent Property Group (HKG:760) Is Using Debt Extensively

SEHK:760
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Talent Property Group Limited (HKG:760) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Talent Property Group

What Is Talent Property Group's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Talent Property Group had CN¥780.9m of debt at June 2021, down from CN¥1.07b a year prior. However, it also had CN¥225.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥555.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:760 Debt to Equity History September 21st 2021

How Healthy Is Talent Property Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Talent Property Group had liabilities of CN¥1.86b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥602.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥225.6m and CN¥99.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.14b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥170.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Talent Property Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Talent Property Group shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (10.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.3 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Talent Property Group is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CN¥50m, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Talent Property Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. In the last year, Talent Property Group's free cash flow amounted to 48% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Talent Property Group's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Talent Property Group's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Talent Property Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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