Shenzhen Investment Limited (HKG:604) has announced that on 14th of October, it will be paying a dividend ofHK$0.03, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. The yield is still above the industry average at 7.7%.
Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Investment
Shenzhen Investment Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Even though Shenzhen Investment is not generating a profit, it is still paying a dividend. The company is also yet to generate cash flow, so the dividend sustainability is definitely questionable.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 136.4%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 150%, which probably can't continue without putting some pressure on the balance sheet.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the annual payment back then was HK$0.16, compared to the most recent full-year payment of HK$0.11. The dividend has shrunk at around 3.7% a year during that period. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Earnings per share has been sinking by 29% over the last five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
Shenzhen Investment's Dividend Doesn't Look Great
In summary, it's not great to see that the dividend is being cut, but it is probably understandable given that the current payment level was quite high. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. The dividend doesn't inspire confidence that it will provide solid income in the future.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Investment that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:604
Shenzhen Investment
An investment holding company, invests in, develops, and manages real estate properties in Mainland China.
Fair value with limited growth.