Stock Analysis

Is Weakness In Gemdale Properties and Investment Corporation Limited (HKG:535) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

SEHK:535
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Gemdale Properties and Investment's (HKG:535) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.6% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study Gemdale Properties and Investment's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Gemdale Properties and Investment

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gemdale Properties and Investment is:

27% = CN¥5.0b ÷ CN¥19b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.27 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Gemdale Properties and Investment's Earnings Growth And 27% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Gemdale Properties and Investment has a significantly high ROE. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 9.0% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. Under the circumstances, Gemdale Properties and Investment's considerable five year net income growth of 32% was to be expected.

As a next step, we compared Gemdale Properties and Investment's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 17%.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:535 Past Earnings Growth December 9th 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Gemdale Properties and Investment's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Gemdale Properties and Investment Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Gemdale Properties and Investment's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 22%, which is quite low. This implies that the company is retaining 78% of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

Moreover, Gemdale Properties and Investment is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of seven years of paying a dividend.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Gemdale Properties and Investment's performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Let's not forget, business risk is also one of the factors that affects the price of the stock. So this is also an important area that investors need to pay attention to before making a decision on any business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Gemdale Properties and Investment.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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