Stock Analysis

What Are The Total Returns Earned By Shareholders Of Kowloon Development (HKG:34) On Their Investment?

SEHK:34
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Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. That downside risk was realized by Kowloon Development Company Limited (HKG:34) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 21%. That contrasts poorly with the market return of 12%. Longer term shareholders haven't suffered as badly, since the stock is down a comparatively less painful 9.9% in three years. In the last ninety days we've seen the share price slide 23%.

Check out our latest analysis for Kowloon Development

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Unfortunately Kowloon Development reported an EPS drop of 61% for the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 21% the share price fall. So despite the weak per-share profits, some investors are probably relieved the situation wasn't more difficult.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:34 Earnings Per Share Growth November 25th 2020

Dive deeper into Kowloon Development's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Kowloon Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Kowloon Development, it has a TSR of 6.2% for the last year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Kowloon Development provided a TSR of 6.2% over the last twelve months. But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 9% a year, over half a decade) look better. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Kowloon Development has 4 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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