Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Tian Teck Land Limited (HKG:266) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Tian Teck Land
What Is Tian Teck Land's Debt?
As you can see below, Tian Teck Land had HK$201.7m of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds HK$571.0m in cash, so it actually has HK$369.3m net cash.
How Strong Is Tian Teck Land's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Tian Teck Land had liabilities of HK$324.1m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$295.1m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$571.0m and HK$160.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast HK$112.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Tian Teck Land has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Tian Teck Land has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
On the other hand, Tian Teck Land's EBIT dived 17%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Tian Teck Land's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Tian Teck Land may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Tian Teck Land recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 82% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Tian Teck Land has HK$369.3m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 82% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in HK$307m. So we are not troubled with Tian Teck Land's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tian Teck Land (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About SEHK:266
Tian Teck Land
An investment holding company, engages in the property investment activities in the People’s Republic of China and Hong Kong.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.