Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Winfull Group Holdings Limited (HKG:183) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Winfull Group Holdings's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, Winfull Group Holdings had HK$236.5m of debt, up from HK$224.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$186.0m, its net debt is less, at about HK$50.4m.
How Strong Is Winfull Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Winfull Group Holdings had liabilities of HK$279.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$15.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$186.0m and HK$3.80m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$104.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Winfull Group Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$193.5m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Winfull Group Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Winfull Group Holdings had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 12%, to HK$27m. We would much prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
While Winfull Group Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost HK$19m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through HK$35m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Winfull Group Holdings (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About SEHK:183
Winfull Group Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the property investment, development, and trading businesses in Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, and Japan.
Excellent balance sheet very low.