Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Winfull Group Holdings Limited (HKG:183) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Winfull Group Holdings
How Much Debt Does Winfull Group Holdings Carry?
As you can see below, Winfull Group Holdings had HK$224.4m of debt, at December 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$165.6m, its net debt is less, at about HK$58.7m.
How Healthy Is Winfull Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Winfull Group Holdings had liabilities of HK$263.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$23.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had HK$165.6m in cash and HK$35.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$85.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Winfull Group Holdings shares are worth a total of HK$2.13b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Winfull Group Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Winfull Group Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$30m, which is a fall of 38%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Winfull Group Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost HK$4.6m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of HK$125m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Winfull Group Holdings (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About SEHK:183
Winfull Group Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the property investment, development, and trading businesses in Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, and Japan.
Excellent balance sheet very low.