Stock Analysis

Coastal Greenland (HKG:1124) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

SEHK:1124
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Coastal Greenland Limited (HKG:1124) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Coastal Greenland

How Much Debt Does Coastal Greenland Carry?

As you can see below, Coastal Greenland had HK$1.81b of debt at March 2022, down from HK$3.12b a year prior. However, it also had HK$251.4m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$1.56b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1124 Debt to Equity History July 5th 2022

A Look At Coastal Greenland's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Coastal Greenland had liabilities of HK$3.06b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$1.38b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$251.4m and HK$2.31b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$1.88b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the HK$165.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Coastal Greenland would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Coastal Greenland's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Coastal Greenland made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$6.7m, which is a fall of 95%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Coastal Greenland's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$641m. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost HK$943m in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Coastal Greenland is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit concerning...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.